New York Times

THE CAUCUS

• What We’re Watching: Sunday Shows
  

  (First Draft - January 31 2015 - 7:56 PM:)

  <>Mitt Romney said he would not be running for president for a third time, but there are still many 2016 hopefuls who will appear on the Sunday shows.> <>
• Candidate Tracker: Who Is Running for President (or Not)?
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 10:53 PM:)

  <>At least a dozen Republicans and a handful of Democrats have expressed an interest in running for their party's 2016 presidential nomination.> <>
• Bush Moves to Shore Up D.C. Money
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 10:09 PM:)

  <>Jeb Bush will be swinging through Washington on Feb. 17., attending two events for his "super PAC," Right to Rise, as he looks to lock down big D.C. donors before the first fund-raising deadline.> <>
• Senate Democrats to Try to Block Funding Bill Over Immigration
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 9:24 PM:)

  <>Senator Richard J. Durbin said Friday that Democrats would seek to block debate on a bill that would cancel President Obama’s actions protecting millions of unauthorized immigrants from deportation.> <>
• Republican Rivals Shower Praise on Romney Upon His Exit
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 9:10 PM:)

  <>The bickering among potential rivals for the Republican presidential nomination was becoming increasingly tense in recent weeks, but after Mitt Romney announced that he would not be making a third run, there was nothing but praise.> <>
• Romney Out, Scott Walker Makes His (Anti-Washington) Case
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 7:49 PM:)

  <>Less than two hours after Mitt Romney announced that he was not going to make another run at the White House, Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin made a case for why he could be the man for the job.> <>
• First Draft Focus: Week in Political Pictures
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 7:38 PM:)

  <>A look back at the week in politics.> <>
• Audio of Mitt Romney’s Call to Supporters
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 5:14 PM:)

  <>Our friend Alex Leary from The Tampa Bay Times posted the audio of Mitt Romney's call to supporters today.> <>
• Biden Says G.O.P. Will Try to ‘Steal’ Credit for Better Economy
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 4:38 PM:)

  <>Vice President Joseph R. Biden warned Democrats on Friday that if they did not speak up and take credit for the economic recovery, Republicans would try to “steal” the credit for themselves.> <>
• Romney Email Raises Intrigue About a 2016 Run
  

  (First Draft - January 30 2015 - 12:10 PM:)

  <>Mitt Romney appears poised to announce whether he will run again for president.> <>

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FIVE THIRTY EIGHT

• Special Election Timing in New Jersey Points to a Weak G.O.P. Field
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - June 04 2013 - 8:11 PM:)

  <>Gov. Chris Christie's decision to schedule a special election for Senator Frank R. Lautenberg's seat on Oct. 16 suggests that he evaluated the potential Republican challengers and did not like what he saw.> <>
• How Christie Can Maximize the G.O.P.’s Chances in New Jersey
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - June 04 2013 - 12:55 AM:)

  <>Any Republican that Gov. Chris Christie appointed to replace Senator Frank R. Lautenberg would probably be an underdog in an election. But if Mr. Christie wants to maximize his party's chances of holding the seat, his path is fairly straightforward.> <>
• Lautenberg’s Death Continues Sharp Decrease in Military Veterans in Senate
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - June 03 2013 - 6:14 PM:)

  <>In the late 1970s, 81 of 100 senators had served in the military. Today, just 16 have.> <>
• A Predictable Decline in Hillary Clinton’s Popularity
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 31 2013 - 7:58 PM:)

  <>The drop in Mrs. Clinton's favorability ratings was likely just a matter of time -- and if the Benghazi hearings had not triggered it, something else would have.> <>
• Why Can’t Canada Win the Stanley Cup?
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 31 2013 - 4:46 PM:)

  <>No Canadian team has won the N.H.L. championship since 1993. How unlikely is this 20-year drought? And is there anything in the league's economics that might explain it?> <>
• Bachmann’s Retirement Reduces Electoral Risk for G.O.P.
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 29 2013 - 11:48 PM:)

  <>Some Democrats are giddy that the Tea Party provocateur Michele Bachmann has announced her intention to retire from Congress, but her decision may allow Republicans to avoid a toss-up race in what should be a reasonably safe district.> <>
• Popular Governors, and Prospects for 2016
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 28 2013 - 4:11 PM:)

  <>The Republicans have several widely popular governors in swing states and blue states. But they aren't always the ones most frequently mentioned for 2016.> <>
• Is the Economy Saving Obama’s Approval Ratings?
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 21 2013 - 12:04 PM:)

  <>Political coverage over the last week has focused on a series of stories that reflect negatively on the executive branch, but President Obama's approval ratings have held steady.> <>
• New Audit Allegations Show Flawed Statistical Thinking
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 17 2013 - 8:31 PM:)

  <>Some conservatives are alleging that the I.R.S. targeted not just conservative groups, but also individual conservative taxpayers. But a handful of anecdotal data points are not worth very much in a country of 300 million people.> <>
• Is There Really a Second-Term Curse?
  

  (FiveThirtyEight - May 16 2013 - 4:47 PM:)

  <>Two-term presidents since World War II tended to be quite popular in their first terms, and significantly less so in their second terms. Is this proof of a second-term curse? In reality, there are some complications.> <>

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